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COP30 keeps climate cooperation alive but hanging by a thread

The 194 countries still taking part in UN climate negotiations reaffirmed the Paris Agreement following the US withdrawal, even if they agreed on little else

By Alec Luhn

24 November 2025

COP30 president Andr茅 Corr锚a do Lago (centre) with his advisers and UN climate secretary Simon Stiell (left)

Pablo PORCIUNCULA / AFP via Getty Images

The United Nations COP30 climate summit in Brazil was flooded by torrential rainfall, stormed by protesters and partially burned down by an electrical fire. The final session was briefly suspended due to countries鈥 objections that the texts they had agreed were too weak.

Nevertheless, the only truly global process for climate action staggered on, with every nation except the United States having spent 12 days in the Amazon negotiating a shared lodestar.

The final decision didn’t mention fossil fuels, the cause of nearly three-quarters of greenhouse gas emissions, even though the agreement made at COP28 in Dubai called for a transition away from these energy sources. More than 80 countries at COP30 sought a roadmap to achieve this fossil fuel transition. But oil-producing countries removed it from the texts, which must be agreed unanimously by all 194 states.

鈥淎 consensus imposed under climate denialism is a failed agreement,鈥 Colombia delegate Diana Mejia told the room, arguing, along with the delegates from Panama and Uruguay, that Brazil had ignored their requests to speak before it gavelled through the final texts.

In the end, Brazil, which claimed not to have seen the requests, promised them it would help develop a fossil-fuel transition roadmap outside the UN.

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鈥淚t’s like making a board game,鈥 at the International Institute for Sustainable Development says of the failed roadmap. 鈥淲e’re playing the game, but some people are still arguing about what the rules should be.鈥

Yet the final decision 鈭 called the 鈥済lobal mutir茫o鈥 after an Indigenous Brazilian word for 鈥渃ollective efforts鈥 鈭 did at least demonstrate that international cooperation on climate has survived what have been 鈥渟ome heavy blows this year鈥, as UN climate secretary Simon Stiell in his closing speech.

Donald Trump again pulled the US, the world鈥檚 second-largest emitter, out of the COP process, and Argentina threatened to leave as well, raising fears the annual negotiations would fracture. At other global meetings this year, Washington torpedoed talks to limit shipping emissions and plastic pollution.

Companies, industry groups and philanthropic foundations have also rowed back climate commitments, with Bill Gates calling for COP30 to focus on poverty and disease rather than emissions.

Ten years after the Paris Agreement at COP21, which set out a limit of 2掳C of warming compared with the pre-industrial average, we are 鈭 though the world was heading for almost 4掳C before the agreement.

Last year, top scientists and diplomats wrote to the UN that the COP process 鈥渋s no longer fit for purpose鈥. But former Ireland president Mary Robinson, one of the letter鈥檚 authors, said in a statement after COP30 that most countries are moving forward 鈥渁t a time when multilateralism is being tested鈥.

Nations stressed in the main text that they remained united behind the Paris Agreement and the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Taken together with the climate pledges in a of large economies the same day, which the US also boycotted, it鈥檚 a 鈥渞eally powerful pushback and rebuke to Trump鈥, according to , a COP historian at the University of Cambridge.

It also sends a strong signal to businesses, investors and subnational governments, she says.

As foreign aid budgets shrink 鈭 the US has shuttered its aid agency entirely 鈭 lower-income countries have complained that big historic emitters aren鈥檛 supporting them in adapting to climate threats. COP30 agreed to develop a 鈥渏ust transition mechanism鈥 to help this. It also pledged to triple adaptation finance, but it remains unclear how much money that should be, and the initial deadline of 2030 has been delayed to 2035.

鈥淎part from the just transition mechanism鈥 I don鈥檛 have anything to celebrate,鈥 says at the Satat Sampada Climate Foundation, which advocates for people who are vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. 鈥淲e should have done much better.鈥

Although COP30 took place in Bel茅m on the edge of the Amazon, it failed to agree a roadmap to halt and reverse deforestation, despite it being pushed by more than 90 countries. Before the summit started, however, Brazil launched the Tropical Forests Forever Facility, an investment fund that will pay its returns to countries for each hectare of forest they leave standing.

Brazil and donor countries have committed $6.6 billion to the fund so far, far less than the $25 billion goal. The rules under which the fund will operate need to be tightened, says at the University of Melbourne, but 鈥渋t’s a welcome step away from carbon offsetting that fails to protect the climate at all鈥.

鈥淏razil itself taking a bit of leadership on deforestation is one of the best outcomes we could hope for COP30,鈥 says 聽at the consultancy firm EY-Parthenon. 鈥淎nd it鈥檚 taking that leadership also internationally.鈥

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