A billboard during a record heat wave in Phoenix, Arizona on July 18, 2023 AFP via Getty Images
It’s official: 2023 was the hottest year on record. The global average temperature for the year was 1.48掳C warmer than the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average, according to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). That is the highest since records began in 1940 and probably the highest in 100,000 years, sparking heatwaves, droughts and wildfires.
The year鈥檚 average temperature of 14.98掳C (58.96掳F) came close to hitting 1.5掳C above pre-industrial times, a limit that countries are aiming to avoid under the 2015 Paris Agreement 鈥 although the goal applies to the long-term average temperature rather than the average for a single year.
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鈥淭he extremes we have observed over the last few months provide a dramatic testimony of how far we now are from the climate in which our civilisation developed,鈥 said , the director of C3S, in a statement. 鈥淲e need to urgently decarbonise.鈥
In a first, every day of the year was at least 1掳C warmer than its equivalent in pre-industrial times. at the UK Met Office says 2023 was even more scorching than forecasters expected. That is partly because El Ni帽o, a natural climate phase that boosts temperatures, started earlier in the year than usual, although most of the warming is still due to human emissions.
鈥淭he Met Office makes predictions on the forecast for the coming year every year,鈥 says Betts. 鈥2023 was the first time it was substantially above what we would predict.鈥
The sweltering temperatures made extreme weather like the heavy rains of Storm Daniel, which in Libya last September, . The July heatwave in North America and Europe would have been 鈥渧irtually impossible鈥 without climate change, the World Weather Attribution initiative .
Ocean temperatures were also unprecedented in 2023, according to C3S, and , which intensified more in 12 hours than any storm in history.
This year will also be hot and could even break 2023鈥檚 record, says Betts.
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