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The science behind Extinction Rebellion鈥檚 three climate change demands

By Adam Vaughan

25 April 2019

Extinction Rebellion activists blocked streets outside the Bank of England in London on 25 April

Activists blocked streets outside the Bank of England on 25 April

Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images

Hundreds of climate change campaigners will leave the streets of London today, following 11 days of protests that brought parts of the capital to a standstill and led to more than a thousand arrests. In a parting shot, .

Attention will now swing towards the demands of the group behind the protests, Extinction Rebellion, who are hoping for negotiations with the UK government. Meetings with environment secretary Michael Gove and energy minister Claire Perry are expected next week.

Any government talks will follow an extraordinary fortnight that saw thousands of schoolchildren strike for climate action for a third time, , and Sir David Attenborough warn of climate change鈥檚 grave threat on primetime TV.

Extinction Rebellion . It wants the government to 鈥渢ell the truth鈥 about climate change, create a citizens鈥 assembly to guide action, and set a target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2025.

Rupert Read, who is part of the movement鈥檚 political strategy group, says Extinction Rebellion鈥檚 founders wanted a set of clear and unassailable asks, rather than a detailed manifesto. 鈥淭o not get bogged down on a detailed programme, but to have something everyone could agree on,鈥 he says.

2025 challenge

To call a 2025 net zero greenhouse gas target radical would be an understatement. The UK鈥檚 current goal is to, by 2050, emit 80 per cent less than the country did in 1990 –聽a target the . Next week, the government鈥檚 climate advisers will likely recommend the 2050 target is upgraded to net zero.

Mark Maslin of University College London, UK, thinks acheiving net zero emissions in six years鈥 time instead is unrealistic. 鈥2025 is too close as many of the changes require changes to infrastructure, ownership and of course replanting trees and rewilding, all of which take decades,鈥 he says.

Read concedes that some in the group thought a later date, of around 2029, would be more credible. 鈥淚鈥檓 100 per cent behind the 2025 demand myself, as are most people in Extinction Rebellion, although there were some people who were in disagreement,鈥 he says.

Some in the group told聽New 女生小视频聽that, while challenging targets are necessary, it is na茂ve to suggest that 2025 could be achieved.

But Read says 2025 could be met by a “green new deal” to replace gas boilers in millions of homes. He adds that old cars would have to be permanently taken off the road, and not be replaced by electric models.

Ecological emergency

Telling the truth would help reach the 2025 goal, he says. Extinction Rebellion is demanding that the government 鈥渕ust tell the truth by declaring a climate and ecological emergency.鈥 that 鈥渨hat counts is actions鈥.

Read says one facet of this demand is about language and conveying the scale of change required to tackle climate change.聽鈥淚t means declare a climate emergency. Tell the public this is an existential threat. This is not just about the environment, but about everything. That we will have to change an awful lot,鈥 he says.

A second aspect of the movement’s “truth” demand is accounting. Official figures state that the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions . But this does not include the emissions of the goods and services we consume, nor those from international air travel or shipping.

Thunberg attacked that omission in , which she described as 鈥渧ery creative carbon accounting.鈥

Ask the people

Extinction Rebellion’s last ask is for the creation of citizens鈥 assemblies to guide action and policy. Oxford City Council has .

But what if such forums reveal that many people are actually quite conservative about action on climate change, as some studies suggest? 鈥淲e don鈥檛 know. We鈥檇 be very disappointed and would have to think again,鈥 says Read, though he believes it highly likely the assemblies would demand radical action.

Even if none of the demands are acquiesced to, the group has already arguably had an impact. The , and various politicians are suddenly talking about climate change and the action needed.

“One way of putting what Extinction Rebellion exists for is: ‘to make the politically impossible, politically possible’,” says Read.

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