Can geoengineering protect corals from the warming climate? ullstein bild/Getty
Time for artificial planet coolers? A cooling 鈥渟unshade鈥 for the planet could reduce harmful coral bleaching and the number of hurricanes, which damage reefs.
With the effects of climate change becoming increasingly apparent, the idea of squirting a cloud of sulphate aerosols into the upper atmosphere is being investigated by several groups of scientists. This would scatter some of the sun鈥檚 rays back into space, reducing the rate at which the Earth is warming.
Now a study by at the University of Bedfordshire, UK, and his colleagues examines what this form of geoengineering would do to the Caribbean region and its fragile reefs. 鈥淐orals are the rainforests of the sea, and if you lose them the impacts on ecosystems and people would be complex and far-reaching,鈥 says Crabbe.
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The team used computer models to simulate both the changing climate and rising seas between 2020 and 2069. They then modelled what would happen if solar radiation was artificially reduced. 鈥淲e show very convincingly that, by injecting sulphur dioxide in the atmosphere, sea surface temperatures would decrease significantly by 2069,鈥 says Crabbe.
Hold back the hurricanes
When the sea is too warm, corals expel the tiny algae living in their tissues, which feed their hosts through photosynthesis. The corals turn white or 鈥渂leached鈥. After severe bleaching, most corals starve to death. Keeping temperatures down prevented this in the model.
But bleaching is not the only threat. According to Crabbe, solar radiation management would also reduce the frequency of hurricanes. These intense storms 鈥渄estroy coral reefs, not only by smashing them, but also by limiting their reproduction and recruitment鈥: drifting larvae cannot attach themselves to a new reef in choppy waters. Crabbe says hurricanes would still occur, but not as frequently, giving the reefs some time to recover.
鈥淥ne of the main concerns with solar radiation management is not necessarily its effectiveness, but its side effects,鈥 says at the University of Oxford. For example, 鈥渋t could disrupt regional weather patterns and monsoons鈥, which would be a problem because many people rely on predictable seasonal cycles for tasks like farming.
Back to normal
There is also the risk that geoengineering systems could be suddenly turned off. 鈥淲hat if the system was stopped through a terrorist attack?鈥 asks Bellamy. 鈥淕lobal temperatures would jump back to where they would have been without geoengineering.鈥 If greenhouse gas emissions had not been cut in the meantime, 鈥渢hat could be a very sharp rise鈥.
Crabbe admits that 鈥渨e don鈥檛 know鈥 what would happen to the marine environment鈥 in that scenario. 鈥淏ut the situation is currently so extreme that we have to make provisions.鈥
at Harvard University has suggested an alternative, less aggressive way to cool the seas: increasing the reflectivity of the oceans with tiny air bubbles that could be delivered cheaply by ships or oil rigs. 鈥淢icrobubble lifetimes聽are measured in minutes, as opposed to the months needed to turn stratospheric aerosols on and off, so brightening the water may afford better local control than dimming the sun,鈥 he says.
But this would be a local solution, not a global one.
Other researchers have proposed brightening the clouds over coral reefs, which would cool only that area, and reducing ocean acidification 鈥 another threat to corals caused by greenhouse gas emissions 鈥 by adding minerals to the ocean to neutralise the acid.
International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
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