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Secret report exposes fears for British science

Confidential advice to the government late last year warned that British
science was heading for trouble. A report from the Advisory Board for the
Research Councils argued that next year鈥檚 budget was 鈥榮ubstantially less
than the sum needed to sustain the health of the UK science base鈥�. New scientist
has obtained a copy of the unpublished report.

The four-page letter from David Phillips, head of the ABRC, to Kenneth
Clarke, the education secretary, reveals a deep rift between the minister
and his civil servants. While Clarke has expressed confidence about the
state fo British science, Phillips is worried. 鈥楾he proportion of the nation鈥檚
wealth ]GDP^ deployed through the science budget will have declined by 15
per cent between 1981 and 1994,鈥� Phillips wrote. 鈥楾his will make it difficult
to sustain scientific excellence.鈥�

Phillips rejects the government鈥檚 assessment that the 6 per cent increase
in the science budget represented level funding in real terms. He argues
that because costs, particularly salaries, are rising by more than 6 per
cent, 鈥榯he volume of scientific programmes will have to be reduced鈥�.

In a debate on science in the House of Commons last week, Clarke argued
that level funding next year was justified by big rises in the past, 鈥榚specially
the big 8 per cent uplift which took place two years ago鈥�. But Phillips
rejects this. He says the impetus of the 1989/90 funding boost will be 鈥榤ore
than cancelled out鈥� by next year鈥檚 cuts.

Phillips also contradicts Clarke鈥檚 view that cuts of 28 million Pounds
forced on the Science and Engineering Research Council are the result of
鈥榬eckless overcommitment鈥� by SERC. He says the 鈥榦ffending鈥� research was
鈥榮tarted, with your ]Clarke鈥檚^ predecessor鈥檚 endorsement, during 1990/91鈥�.

Although the SERC last week announced a two-year reprieve for the Nuclear
Structure Facility (NSF) at Daresbury which faced closure, grants for new
research will be halved, a solution Phillips calls 鈥榚xtreme鈥�.

This criticism of government policy will carry added weight coming from
the ABRC, the government鈥檚 own advisory body on science funding. In the
previous five years the advice was published, but this year the Department
of Education and Science kept it confidential. Phillips is plainly unhappy
with this. His letter closes with: 鈥業 should also welcome the opportunity
to discuss the publication of the board鈥檚 advice.鈥�

Phillips also queries the amount of money newly allocated to the research
councils to cover overheads of some projects previously paid for by the
universities. The government has allocated 50 million pounds in 1992/93
and 100 million pounds in 1993/94. Phillips thinks the research councils
could lose out on the transfer. He says 鈥榤ore work is needed to refine the
amounts corresponding to the range in funding responsibilities鈥�.

Phillips鈥檚 letter assesses how cuts might affect the research councils.
The Natural Environment Research Council has cancelled plans to build two
types of submarine. The cost of redundancies in the Agricultural and Food
Research Council has absorbed half the planned increase in research grants.
the Economic and Social Research Council has cut back work on the 1991 census
and its 鈥榩ositive health鈥� centre for health promotion. The Medical Research
Council has also cancelled work for 鈥榝inancial rather than scientific reasons鈥�.

One quarter of Phillips鈥檚 letter is devoted to the SERC鈥檚 problems.
On top of this year鈥檚 cuts, Phillips says that the SERC has also decided
鈥榯o consider possible reductions in long-term commitments at its research
establishments and through international subscriptions鈥�. He says the council
also belives 鈥榮ome further reduction in the proportion of SERC鈥檚 budget
spent on 鈥榖ig science鈥� (nuclear physics and astronomy) would be desirable鈥�.

As the goverment has ruled out cutting the subscription to CERN, the
European centre for particle physics, those statements point to a continuing
squeeze on nuclear physics. This week, Mark Richmond, Chairman of the SERC,
compared the small number of researchers who can use the NSF with the many
more who can use other facilities at the same time, 鈥楾he cost per head of
the synchrotron radiation source ]at Daresbury^ is a much more effective
use of resource than the NSF,鈥� he said.

Phillips鈥檚 letter suggests the ISIS neutron source at the Rutherford
Appleton Laboratory is considered more deserving than the joint European
source in Grenoble. 鈥楶articular attention is being given to the possible
ending of UK participation at the treaty renewal point in 1992,鈥� says Phillips.

Phillips believes that Britain鈥檚 competitors are 鈥榠nvesting significantly
more in research鈥�. He says the ABRC鈥檚 major disappointment is that the level
of current funding will 鈥榳iden the disparity with research budgets in other
肠辞耻苍迟谤颈别蝉鈥�.

Mark Richmond, who sent shock waves through the nuclear physics community
by threatening to shut down the NSF, still wants to shift the council鈥檚
funding from big facilities towards individual grants. But he says the problems
with next year鈥檚 funding mean that 鈥榠n the short term, we will move in the
opposite direction鈥�.

The SERC last week announced cuts of 28 million pounds. To Richmond鈥檚
dismay, the biggest cuts are in grants. The council can fund only half of
next year鈥檚 grants.

The underlying problem is that 130 million pounds of the SERC鈥檚 budget
is tied up in international projects, says Richmond, leaving only 300 million
pounds spare. The astronomy board of the SERC would like to pull out of
the Spectrum-X astronomy project with the USSR, says Richmond. But the project
is an intergovernmental agreement and therefore 鈥榟orrendously complex鈥�.
Pulling out may cost more than staying in.

The NSF is guaranteed funding for next year. In 1992/93, after a review
of nuclear physics has been completed, it will require 5 million pounds,
open or shut. This money is not currently in the SERC budget and Richmond
hopes it will come either form the ABRC鈥檚 reserve or as extra science spending
from the government. Otherwise it will rob other facilities 鈥� or grants.